Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.591873 1.820214 2.071006 2.367102 2.707421 3.086663 3.541820
2025-08-17 1.186272 1.465983 1.798594 2.224051 2.755017 3.397377 4.235904
2025-08-24 0.959101 1.265531 1.655242 2.188936 2.903611 3.831560 5.134365
2025-08-31 0.791407 1.105010 1.527708 2.141953 3.016717 4.225225 6.034532
2025-09-07 0.706970 1.038303 1.508764 2.229918 3.315695 4.902608 7.421907
2025-09-14 0.626607 0.962623 1.462401 2.266013 3.537975 5.493860 8.768387
2025-09-21 0.549233 0.878534 1.389197 2.246537 3.666405 5.952864 9.971085
2025-09-28 0.473145 0.784904 1.286937 2.163424 3.676023 6.216531 10.883970
2025-10-05 0.444876 0.764480 1.298294 2.266403 4.005541 7.049254 12.890278
2025-10-12 0.420473 0.746797 1.310836 2.371043 4.349152 7.948566 15.147887
2025-10-19 0.391039 0.716132 1.296231 2.423629 4.602898 8.715719 17.268359
2025-10-26 0.361894 0.682102 1.270852 2.451635 4.811735 9.422477 19.371759
2025-11-02 0.321565 0.623543 1.195443 2.378743 4.823739 9.767514 20.836648
2025-11-09 0.280820 0.559280 1.101549 2.257065 4.720931 9.868194 21.805192
2025-11-16 0.255719 0.523036 1.058295 2.232976 4.817951 10.398369 23.806630
2025-11-23 0.231844 0.486374 1.009714 2.191006 4.870158 10.838773 25.676857
2025-11-30 0.222865 0.479846 1.022802 2.284374 5.236042 12.029182 29.524303
2025-12-07 0.209958 0.463233 1.012234 2.323162 5.481856 12.978897 32.945735
2025-12-14 0.193819 0.437514 0.978575 2.304106 5.587623 13.610674 35.667333
2025-12-21 0.174650 0.402686 0.920375 2.219254 5.520779 13.809556 37.283433
2025-12-28 0.170208 0.401571 0.939670 2.325259 5.947624 15.315396 42.722178
2026-01-04 0.165958 0.400392 0.958616 2.432871 6.394386 16.940759 48.796856
2026-01-11 0.158728 0.391092 0.956797 2.486961 6.707007 18.254941 54.211435